Tuesday, December 25, 2012

COLLAR

Definition

The owner of the Equity/ stock sells the CALL Options (generally out of money) and buys the PUT (also Out of Money) for the Same Expiration Month. The Premium received for selling the CALL is generally same as the premium paid for buying the PUT and the strategy is referred as “Zero Cost Collar”. The Strategy can also be set for a Credit or Debit depending on what the trader’ expectation of the trade.

 

When to run the strategy

The Stock has shown a lot of upward movement and the trader is still expecting it to go up further. But since it has had a lot of upward movement, he also wants to protect his investment from the downward movement.
The owner of the Stock is expecting the Stock to go up slightly in the short term but not a lot of upward movement. The strategy is generally played for the short term and not for LEAPS.

 

Benefits of strategy

·         You own the underlying stock and don’t require to sell it till called for.
·         If the stock price falls down, the loss is limited since you have bought the PUTS and can sell the Stock at Strike Price of PUTS.

Transactions

·         You buy the Equity at Price (E) (say $100).
·         You sell the CALL (generally Out of the Money) at the Strike Price (S) (say $110) and receive the premium (P) (say $7).
·         You buy the PUT (generally Out of the Money) at the Strike Price (S) (say $90by paying the premium (P) (say $7).

Max Profit

 

Max profit is capped at
CALL Strike Price – Stock Purchase Price - Premium Paid for PUT + Premium Received for the CALL

Example:
Stock Purchase Price:                         $100
CALL Strike Price:                              $110
Premium Paid for buying PUT:                    $7
Premium Received for selling CALL:  $7

So Max Profit = $110 - $100 + $7 -$7 = $10

Potential and Max Loss

Potential Loss is
Potential Loss occurs if the Stock Price falls below the Purchase Price.
Example, 
Stock Purchase Price                          $100
Stock Price at Expiration (say):          $95
Premium Paid for buying PUT:                    $7
Premium Received for selling CALL:  $7
So Potential Loss= ($95 - $100) - $7 +$7 = $5
Max Loss occurs when the stock value is reduced to PUT Strike Price.
Max loss = Stock Purchase price – PUT Strike Price.
In the above example it will be $90 - $100 = -$10

 

Breakeven point

 

In the Zero Cost Collar, the breakeven point is at the Stock Purchase price since the premium paid for PUT is equal to the Premium received for selling the CALL.
Example:
Stock Purchase Price:                        $100
Premium Paid for buying PUT:                    $7
Premium Received for selling CALL:  $7
So Stock price at breakeven point should be ($100) -$7 +$7 = $100

 

At Expiration

 

Ø If the Stock price is above CALL Strike price:
The Stock is called i.e., Stock is removed from your portfolio and the amount equal to Strike price is credited in your account. In this case you have made a profit equal to CALL Strike Price – Stock Purchase Price.
Ø If the Stock price is below PUT Strike price:
Your stock is sold at the PUT Strike Price. In this case you have made a loss equal to PUT Strike Price – Stock Purchase Price.
Ø If the Stock price is between the PUT and CALL Strike prices:
Both the CALL and PUT Options end worthless. You keep owning the stock. If the Stock price is above the stock purchase price, you have theoretically made a profit and if it is below the purchase price, you have theoretically made a loss though you have no obligation to see the stock.

Who should trade this?

 

Since this strategy has low risk, it can be traded by people at all level
Beginners               - Yes
Intermediates          - Yes
Experts                   - Yes
Masters                   - Yes

Time decay

Ø Time Decay doesn’t affect you much since you have both bought and sold Options.
Ø As Expiration date approaches, the time value of Option will reduce.
Ø The time value reduces to 0 on the day of Expiration.

Points to consider

Ø Brokerage Cost: Always consider brokerage cost when making a trade. Sometimes the significant part of the premium received is used in Brokerage.

Protective Put

Definition

 

The owner of the Equity/ stock buys the PUT Options (generally out of money) by paying the premium.

The Owner has the right (but no obligation) to sell the underlying stock at the Strike price before the expiration date even if the stock price at expiration is much less than the Strike price.

When to run the strategy


The owner of the Stock is expecting the Stock to go up but also wants to protect his investments from the downward movement

The strategy is like buying the investment for the stocks in your portfolio

Benefits of strategy


You own the underlying stock and can benefit if the stock price goes up
If the stock price goes below significantly, you don’t have to worry since you can get out of your position as per your contract.
Your loss is limited to the premium you paid to buy the PUT.

Transactions


You buy the Equity at Price (E) (say $100).
You Sell the call (generally Out of the Money) at the Strike Price (S) (say $110).
You receive the premium (P) (say $7).
Potential profit Max Profit

There is no max limit to the profit. 
Theoretically you can have unlimited Profit

Example:
Stock Purchase Price:        $100
Stock price at expiration(say):  $400
Premium:                          $7

So Profit = $400 - $100 - $7 = $293
Max Loss

Potential Loss is
(Stock Purchase Price – Strike Price) – Premium Paid

Example, 
          Stock Purchase Price          $100
          Strike Price (say):               $  90
          Premium Paid:                    $7

So Potential Loss= ($100 - $90) - $7 = $17

Note: Even if the company goes Bankrupt or the stock price drops significantly (say 95%), you have the right to sell the stock at strike price

Breakeven point


This occurs when the loss in Premium is compensated by the increase in Stock Price. It occurs when the stock price at expiration is (Stock Purchase Price + Premium).

Example:
Stock Purchase Price - $100
Premium Paid - $7
So Stock price at Breakeven point should be (100 + 7) = $107

At Expiration


If the Stock price is below Strike price:
The PUT Option is executed i.e., Stock is removed from your portfolio and the amount equal to Strike price is credited in your account.

If the Stock price is above Strike price:
The PUT Option expires worthless.
 The Stock remains in your account.

Who should trade this?

Since this strategy is to protect the investment, it can be traded by people at all level.
Beginners               - Yes
Intermediates          - Yes
Experts                   - Yes
Masters                   - Yes
           

Time decay

Ø Time Decay will work against.
Ø The time value of option reduces on the daily basis.
Ø Even if the Stock price remains constant, the value of PUT Option will keep decreasing.
Ø The time value reduces to 0 on the day of Expiration.

Points to consider

Exit strategy: You don’t have to worry even when the stock falls significantly. You may like to book your profit when the stock rises.
Brokerage Cost: Always consider brokerage cost when making a trade.

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Covered Call

Definition

The owner of the Equity/ stock sells the CALL Options (generally out of money) and receives the premium. He is willing to sell the stock if called (stock price at expiration more than the Strike price).

If the trader buys to stock to get into the Covered Call, it is generally called Buy/Write.

 

When to run the strategy

The owner of the Stock is expecting the Stock to go up slightly or remain at current price and ready to get out of trade with slight gain.

The Strategy can be used as a constant cash flow strategy if you are ready to get out of positions with some gain.

 

Benefits of strategy

 

·         You own the underlying stock and don’t require to sell it till called for.
·         If the stock price falls down, the loss may be covered by the gain because of selling the call.
·         Can be a good cash flow strategy if you are long on the stock.

 

Transactions

·         You buy the Equity at Price (E) (say $100).
·         You Sell the call (generally Out of the Money) at the Strike Price (S) (say $110).
·         You receive the premium (P) (say $7).

Max Profit

 

Max profit is capped at
Strike Price – Stock Purchase Price + Premium

Example:
Stock Purchase Price:     $100
Strike Price:                    $110
Premium:                       $7

So Max Profit = $110 - $100 + $7 = $17

Potential and Max Loss

Potential Loss is
(Stock Purchase Price – Premium) - Stock Price at Expiration
Example, 
          Stock Purchase Price          $100
          Stock Price at Expiration (say): $70
          Premium:                            $7

So Potential Loss= ($100 - $7) - $70 = $23
Max Loss occurs when the stock value is reduced to 0.
Max loss = Stock Purchase price - Premium
Note: You still own the stock so the loss is notional till you book the loss.

Break even point

 

This occurs when the loss in Stock is compensated by the premium received. It occurs when the stock price at expiration is (Stock Purchase Price – Premium).
Example:
Stock Purchase Price - $100
Premium - $7
So Stock price at breakeven point should be (100-7) = $93

 

At Expiration

 

Ø If the Stock price is above Strike price:
The Stock is called i.e., Stock is removed from your portfolio and the amount equal to Strike price is credited in your account.

Ø If the Stock price is below Strike price:
The CALL Option expires worthless.
The Stock remains in your account.

Who should trade this?

 

Since this strategy has low risk, it can be traded by people at all level
Beginners               - Yes
Intermediates          - Yes
Experts                   - Yes
Masters                   - Yes

Time decay

Ø Time Decay will work in your support.
Ø As Expiration date approaches, the time value of Option will reduce.
Ø The time values reduces to 0 on the day of Expiration.

Points to consider

Ø Exit strategy: If Stock falls, you require to close the CALL position by buying the CALL and sell the stock.
Ø Brokerage Cost: Always consider brokerage cost when making a trade. Sometimes the significant part of the premium received is used in Brokerage.

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Making 5% monthly on Toll Brothers if you are Bullish on Housing

The Housing has been hit very hard after the Great Recession of 2008. The stocks lost more than 75% of the Market Capitalization from their peak in 2006. In the last 1 year the housing has started seeing some positive signs and so have been the housing related stocks. Most of the markets in US have seen upward trend both in sales and prices. The number of new housing orders has been on constant rise. The stocks of many of the Home Builders like TOL, DHI have grown more than 60% in last 1 year (Not to mention LEN has doubled and PHM has tripled in last 1 year). Many people feel that they have missed the Opportunity but that’s not true. There are still opportunities to make money in the growing home builders stocks.
About the Company
The Stocks of Toll Brothers (TOL) have been continuously growing in the last 12 months. It has gained more than 60% in 2012.
 

The Stock is expected to grow as the housing market improves further. The company has a solid Balance Sheet with more than 5 Bn. in Assets and 2.5 Bn. in Liabilities. The cash flow situation of the company is improving. The company has started showing profits after suffering losses in 2010, 2009.
Current Stock position of Toll Brothers
The stock is currently trading at $30.85 as of Dec 13th 2012. The Company has declined after hitting 52 weeks high of $37.08
Potential Trade
Trade: Buy stocks of Toll Brothers at $30.85 and sell the CALL Option for $1.40 for Jan 18th, 2013 Strike Price of $31. This trade is called Covered Call. You can run this trade also if you are long term Bullish on TOL or currently hold the stock.
Payout of the Trade
There are 3 scenarios that can happen on the day of expiration on Jan 18th, 2013.
The breakeven for this trade is $29.45 (excluding opportunity cost and trading commissions)
  1. Stock price of Toll Brothers > $31: The stock will be called and you will be obligated to sell the stock at the Strike Price of $31. You will still make $1.55 ($30.85(buy price) - $31.00(strike price) + $1.40 (premium)) excluding brokerage.

  1. Stock price of Toll Brothers < $31.00 but >$29.45: The premium will be all yours to keep and you also own the stock. If you want you can sell the stock to book the profit. The other Option is to sell the calls for another month and collect more premiums.

  1. Stock price of Toll Brothers < $29.45: The premium will be all yours to keep and you also own the stock. But theoretically you have made a loss in the trade because the decline in the value of the stock is more than the premium you received to own the stock. In this situation, I recommend to keep a watch as the stock price declines and close the covered call position with the Stop Limit order.
You should execute this trade only if you are Neutral to slightly bullish on the stock. If you are Neutral to Slightly Bearish, I will recommend selling the In the Money CALL Options for $30 Strike Price. The CALLs are selling currently at $1.95. In this you’re your breakeven point is $28.90. In this case the stock has to decline by more than 7% before you incur any loss. Also, even if the stock declines by 2%, you still make 3% on your investment.
My Position:
I currently don’t have any positions in TOL and not planning to initiate any positions in the next 48 Hrs.…

Friday, December 14, 2012

Making 5% monthly on Sears Holding if you are Bullish on SHLD

Making 5% monthly is opportunity not presented very often. But you may find this type of opportunities at times and not a bad Idea to analyze and make use of them.
The opportunity
Stocks of Sears Holding (SHLD) have been hit pretty hard in the past 2 months, declining from the $60-70 level down to $40-45 range, a drop of almost 35%. (See below the graph of Sears Holding for last 12 months)

It seems like investors have lost confidence in Sears Holdings and are dumping the stock. The Stocks had lost last year after the Holiday shopping season when Sears had very few deals for the customers and lost a big share of Holiday Sales to the competitors.
The stocks lost more than 25% in less than a month and the market capitalization has been reduced to 4.5 Bn. The Balance Sheet of the Company has more than 10 Bn in Capital Surplus and has spent more than 5 Bn. dollars to buy back its shares in Treasury Stock.
The company surely had issues last year where it could not meet up the Analysts expectation on the Sales and the stock took a deep dive in January.
If someone has analyzed the offers that Sears had this year compared to last year, you would see that they had increased their offers significantly this year which would give them a big boost in their top line and bottom line this year.
They have recently hit their 9 months low and currently the stock is hovering around $40.
Opportunity in Sears Holdings
The stock is currently trading at $42.26 as of Dec 13th 2012. Since the Stock is on the lower side of the 52 Weeks range, there is significant premium on the CALL Options for the stock.
Potential Trade
Trade: Buy stocks of Sears Holdings at $42.26 and sell the CALL Option for $3.30 for Jan 18th, 2013 Strike Price of $41.42. This trade is called Covered Call. You can run this trade also if you are long term Bullish on SHLD or currently hold the stock.
Payout of the Trade
There are 3 scenarios that can happen on the day of expiration on Jan 18th, 2013.
The breakeven for this trade is $38.96 (excluding opportunity cost and trading commissions)
  1. Stock price of Sears Holdings > $41.42: The stock will be called and you will be obligated to sell the stock at the Strike Price of $41.42. You will still make $2.46 ($42.26(buy price) - $41.42(strike price) + $3.30 (premium)) excluding brokerage.

  1. Stock price of Sears Holdings < $41.42 but >$38.96: The premium will be all yours to keep and you also own the stock. If you want you can sell the stock to book the profit. The other Option is to sell the calls for another month and collect more premiums.

  1. Stock price of Sears Holdings < $38.96: The premium will be all yours to keep and you also own the stock. But theoretically you have made a loss in the trade because the decline in the value of the stock is more than the premium you received to own the stock. In this situation, I recommend to keep a watch as the stock price declines and close the covered call position with the Stop Limit order.
The good part of this trade is that you are selling in the Money calls. So the Stock has to decline by more than 7% before you incur any loss. Also, even if the stock declines by 2%, you still make 5% on your investment.
My Position:
I had Stocks and Sold Calls for Dec 14th Expiration which ended in the money and the stock will be called. I am planning to take position again next week to play the trade…